Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Steroids: Baseball's Savior

"I truly believe because I experimented with it for so many years, that it can make an average athlete a super athlete. It can make a super athlete - incredible. Just legendary" - Jose Conseco

The "it" that Jose Conseco is talking about is steroids. and Mr Conseco is a famous baseball player, mostly for the steroid scandals that surrounded his career. A lot of people will tell you that players like Conseco ruined baseball, and that baseball is still trying to recover from the consequences of steroids, but based on the numbers these players saved baseball from falling out of the American Culture. Thanks to steroids baseball's popularity grew in the 1990s thanks to its ability to increase the home run, which led to more fans attending games, and when fans attend games, they spend money and the money is a good way of tracking popularity.
 
In the 145 years of baseball history there have been 313 total 40 Home Run seasons, and in the last 20 years we've seen more 40 Home Run seasons than in the preceding 125 years with 83 of them occurring between 1996 and 2001 which is known as the beginning of the steroid era. In the peak of those 6 Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa brought the MLB back from its abysmal slump with a home run race for the ages. Coming into the the last month of the season they were neck-and-neck for the fight for Roger Maris' record of 61 home runs in a single season. At the end of the month Sammy Sosa ended with 66 and Mark McGwire won with 70 home runs.

In the 1995 season, total attendance across all teams was roughly 50.5 million, but with the kick off of the steroid era, attendance rose, in 1998 the MLB recorded a record high at the time of 70.6 million attendees in one year.


Thanks to all these fans baseball still made its money. The average value for a baseball franchise in 1994 was $140 million and falling, but in 1996 it went back on an upturn, hitting $332 million in 2004 and still growing, and the ball teams weren't the only ones making this money. The players got a nice piece of these millions. The average player salary in 1996 was $1.2 million and was up 52% in 2000 at $2.3 million and still rising. 

The money may still be rising, but the statistics are not. In 2013 the only player to hit 40 Home Runs was Nelson Cruz, and the total attendance for the MLB has tapered to 73 million. The growth of the MLB has fallen because these players are not putting up their video game numbers anymore. If it weren't for Barry Bonds breaking Hank Aaron's home run record, or Alex Rodriguez with his two steroid scandals, or Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa hitting a combined 136 home runs in one season baseball would have made the way of the Dodo or David Letterman, we'd be hanging the sport up in the rafters. We should be honoring and thanking these players for sacrificing their bodies for a sport they, and we, love.


Ballparks of Baseball.com (2015) 1990-1999 attendance, http://www.ballparksofbaseball.com/1990-99attendance.htm.
Bishop, G. (2009, July 4). After drug revelations, redefining ’98 home run chase. New York Times. http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/05/sports/baseball/05homers.html
Rymer, Z. (2013, May 22). Proof that the steroid-era power surge in major league baseball has been stopped. Bleacher Report. Retrieved from http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1648362-proof-that-the-steroid-era-power-surge-in-baseball-has-been-stopped/
  1. Grossman, M. Kimsey, T. Moreen, J. & Owings, M. (2009). Steroids and major league baseball. http://faculty.haas.berkeley.edu/rjmorgan/mba211/steroids%20and%20major%20league%20baseball.pdf
  2. Associated Press. (2013, April 1) Average baseball salary. KMOV-TV. Retrieved from http://www.kmov.com/sports/ap/200916051.html
  3. Waldstien, D. (2013, March 30).  Hitched to an aging star: anatomy of a deal, and doubts. New York Times. http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/31/sports/baseball/yankees-hitched-to-alex-rodriguez-an-aging-star-anatomy-of-a-deal-and-doubts.html?pagewanted=all
  4. Mitchell, G. (2007, December 13). Report to the commissioner of baseball of an independent investigation into the illegal use of steroids and other performance enhancing substances by players in major league baseball. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office
  5. Siwoff, S. (2014, April). Elias book of baseball records. Elias Sports Burea

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Preseason Picks: 2014


           
Yesterday in West Michigan was the first sign of spring coming, we had weather in the mid-forties, the 8 feet of snow was finally melting away and we could see small patches of dirt and mud where grass had been ripped out by plows. By the end of the day there was actual yellow and green grass visible next to the mud. I started to feel hope, I rolled down the window in my car, turned up the stereo, and kissed winter goodbye.

            Then today came. I stepped out of the door and straight into 2 feet of wet, heavy, ice-topped snow. There it went, all hope of summer dissipated with each swipe I had to make to get the snow off my car. But you know what grew during my snow removal? My yearning for baseball season, and my desire to do my annual March Madness Predictions.

            I’m not talking about College Basketball; I’m talking about my Baseball Season Predictions. So here it is, where I think each team is going to place in their division, their final record, the two teams that will make it into the World Series, and whom I think will win it all. Merry March and Happy Spring Training.

 

AL East W L W% GB
Baltimore Orioles 92 70 0.568 0
Boston Red Sox 86 76 0.531 6
Tampa Bay Rays 83 79 0.512 9
New York Yankees 80 82 0.494 12
Toronto Blue Jays 75 87 0.463 17





AL Central
Cleveland Indians 91 71 0.562 0
Detroit Tigers 85 77 0.525 6
Kansas City Royals 79 83 0.488 12
Chicago White Sox 70 92 0.432 21
Minnisota Twins 65 97 0.401 26





AL West
Oakland A's 88 74 0.543 0
LA Angels 85 77 0.525 3
Texas Rangers 84 78 0.519 4
Seattle Mariners 83 79 0.512 5
Houston Astros 63 99 0.389 25





NL East
Washington Nationals 94 68 0.580 0
Atlanta Braves 89 73 0.549 5
New York Mets 74 88 0.457 20
Philadelphia Phillies 72 90 0.444 22
Miami Marlins 68 94 0.420 26





NL Central
Pittsburgh Pirates 89 73 0.549 0
Cincinnati Reds 85 77 0.525 4
St Louis Cardinals 81 81 0.500 8
Chicago Cubs 78 84 0.481 11
Milwaukee Brewers 70 92 0.432 19





NL West
LA Dodgers 93 69 0.574 0
San Fransisco Giants 86 76 0.531 7
Arizona Diamondbacks 84 78 0.519 9
Colorodo Rockies 82 80 0.506 4
San Diego Padres 76 86 0.469 10



And - last but not least - my World Series Predictions. I have the Washington Nationals going up against the Cleveland Indians in the World Series.

The Winner of the World Series will be...

-
-

-

The Cleveland Indians in Six

Hopefully Derek has the stones to post his own preseason picks.


Thursday, June 27, 2013

Dealing With A Problem Child: The Mothership's Bias Towards Money

THE DEALS: June 2007, ESPN/ABC extended their contract with the NBA for $930 million, allowing for 90 regular season games and all NBA Final games. In September 2011 ESPN extended their deal with the NFL through 2021 for $15.2 billion, allowing ESPN Monday Night Games and possibly one wildcard game. August 2012, ESPN extended their contract with the MLB to 2021 for $5.6 billion, allowing for 90 regular season games and possibly the All-Star break and Playoff games starting in 2014.

NFL alone is at most 70% of their pro sport budget, with the MLB in a not-so-close second place at 26% and the NBA rounding out their budget at 4%. SportsCenter's percentages of highlights and analysis are close to parallel with their expenditures, except for the fact that the NBA and the MLB switch places because of playoff rights.

ESPN IS A BUSINESS: In the TV business you make money from advertisements, and the only way you get advertisements are by showing businesses that people are watching your channel when the advertisement will be on. ESPN has a way of controlling that (Seeing as they're the self-proclaimed "Worldwide Leader in Sports") with their flagship program - SportsCenter.

ESPN knows that a lot of people tune in everyday to get a dose of yesterday's or today's sports news and highlights. Controlling the highlights they show they control the public's agenda. If they want us to talk and watch the NBA Final they just feed us 25 out of 60 minutes of LeBron James and Kobe Bryant discussion and b-roll. If they want us to watch their Preseason game between Tim Tebow and the Dallas Cowboy's third string defense they feed us 25 minutes of Sal Paolantonio LIVE at Jets' Training Camp.


The total minutes spent talking about each player in the span of one week

BUT WHAT ABOUT THE OTHER SPORTS: But what about Hockey, Soccer, and Baseball highlights? They can't fit all of that into 10 minutes? Plus they have the Top Ten at the end of each show. ESPN doesn't care though, they're getting the public to talk about NFL and NBA, the two sports they get the most money out of.


AN OPEN LETTER:
ESPN proclaims that they are the "Worldwide Leader In Sports". How can you be the "Worldwide Leader In Sports" when you only show two sports for 5/6 of an hour. How can you as the SELF-PROCLAIMED "Worldwide Leader In Sports" have a Stanley Cup Final: Game 1 go three overtimes and not show a single highlight in the first 45 minutes of the hour? How can you say you are the "Worldwide Leader In Sports" and not show two of the biggest sports during an hour of programming but spend 25 minutes talking about Tim Tebow going to the Patriots when the NFL hasn't had a practice snap in over four months and another 25 minutes talking about LeBron James when he won't be playing until the next day and hasn't played since two days before? You cannot ignore sports you don't have money in or sports will start ignoring you - and by this I mean - people will stop tuning in. The NFL and the NBA are good sports, but the NFL only matters for 16 weeks, and you only show one game per those 16 weeks. And the NBA doesn't matter until the playoffs - college basketball doesn't even matter until the playoffs - so why do you profess that it does? - The Association is a joke. You have great story lines appearing daily in other sports if you'd just turn on your TV monitors and watch the games for a few more minutes.
You could catch the BlackHawks in the middle of an amazing 24 game point streak. You could see Max Scherzer pitch 12 straight wins. You could see somebody other than LeBron James or Carmello Anthony make a basket, and you could possibly catch a real QB like Aaron Rodgers complete a pass - not this glorified TE, Tim Tebow - flail a football 13 yards.
Sincerely,
David B


ESPN TV deals thanks to:

MLB
USA Today
NY Times

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

A Lesson in Momentum


A Lesson in Momentum
Momentum: There is no stat that measures this intangible force, it cant be seen, heard, smelled, or tasted, there is no way to quantify who has it and who doesn’t, but yet even the most staunch statisticians will admit to its existence.
            So that leaves us with todays lesson, what exactly is momentum? The best way to describe it is an immeasurable force. Momentum is not random, there is always something that sparks it, or causes it to change hands. Sometimes it is taken through performance, for instance Danny Green’s hot handedness from behind the arc during the middle of the NBA Finals, or sometimes its taken from outside of sports, like the Boston Strong movement that provided a spark to all of the professional teams from the city of Boston.
            However momentum cant be understood just by giving a loose definition, to truly understand momentum one must look deeper than just the surface, and notice the underlying factors that make up a game.
Last nights Stanley Cup Final is a great example. The Blackhawks led the Bruins 3-2 in the series. With elimination looming, the home team Bruins clearly had the momentum to start the game. It was evident in their play, from the opening puck drop they were on the offensive, pounding away in the corners, leaving everything on the ice. The Blackhawks were on their heels from the start, reeling from the pace set by the Bruins.
Before ten minutes had gone by the Bruins had their first goal. Bruins defenseman Tory Krug dives after and desperately slaps at the puck, keeping it within the blue line. Bruins center Chris Kelley takes control and passes to Daniel Paille, who flicks the puck towards the net, where it is knocked down by the glove of Tyler Seguin, and slid across the front of the crease to a waiting Kelley, who puts it by a helpless Corey Crawford. The desperation and physicality of Krug is a good example of the Bruins as a whole that game, driven and agressive. For almost the whole first period the Bruins were dominant, all the way up until about the very end of the period, when the first shift in momentum happened.
After making a bad pass in the neutral zone, which leads to a turnover, Chicago forward Andrew Shaw hustles back towards his goal, catching up with Boston’s Shawn Thorton. Shaw attempts to poke away the puck, but Thorton gets away a heavy-handed slap shot before he can. The puck deflects up, striking Shaw in the corner of his eye and cheek. He falls hard to the ice, where he skids several feet before coming to a halt inside of the Hawks blue line. This brings us to an important point in Momentum 101: Overcoming adversity is a surefire way to steal the momentum. As Shaw lay there on the ice, it would have been easy for him to call it a day. He was bleeding profusely from a gash beneath his eye and on his cheek, likely fractured his cheekbone, and possibly was concussed.
A bloody Andrew Shaw during a post game interview.
Shaw took a puck to the face late in the first period.
 No one would’ve blamed him for leaving the game to get some treatment. That thought never even crossed his mind. In fact after being asked about why he didn’t sit out he said “There has to be something seriously wrong with you to not play this game.” After about thirty seconds on the ice, Shaw got up, skated to the bench, and got his cuts looked after. You won’t see this play on any highlight reels, its not going to make big news, and wont make Shaw a star of the game, but the role his toughness played to the game is unarguable.
The Blackhawks seemed to come alive after Shaw’s injury. The toughness displayed by the team throughout the playoffs finally showed, and the period finished with a few good chances for the Hawks. The first period ended in a 1-0 Bruins lead.
When the second period started, you could tell that the momentum had shifted. The Blackhawks started to show even more toughness; captain Jonathan Toews began to play like a captain, even going into the corners with the likes of Bruins captain Zdeno Chara, who stands almost a full foot taller than Toews. Just before the five-minute mark in the second period, Toews showed why he wears the C on his sweater. Toews won a neutral zone faceoff, and pushed the puck over to forward Michael Rozival, who poked the puck along the boards past an advancing Chara. Toews explodes out of the faceoff, and takes the puck on the right side just as it passes the blue line. Toews was alone on goal, and with a nifty leg kick and a flick of the wrist it was tied at one a piece.
The goal seemed to light a fire under the Bruins, and now both teams were playing with a remarkable amount of toughness. Both teams had spectacular chances to score throughout the second period, as the momentum flowed freely back and forth between the two teams. The third was much of the same, with chances coming from both sides. Halfway through the third and the game was still tied at one a piece. But shortly after, the Bruins constant pounding away finally paid dividends, from one of the best two-way lines in hockey, Kreici, Horton, and Lucic. After forcing a turnover behind Chicago’s net, Kreici sends the puck to the front, where Horton slaps it down and Lucic finishes the play, putting the puck on net where it deflects off of Crawford’s blocker, hits the inside of the post, then bounces off his back and in.
The score is 2-1, there is less than eight minutes left, and TD Gardens is absolutely erupting. Put yourself in the skates of a Blackhawk. The whole situation feels hopeless, right? Wrong. If you have followed the Blackhawks at all during these playoffs, you knew that this game was a long way from over, and the Hawks players knew it too.
This is another important part of understanding momentum. What creates momentum for whom? For some teams, this is a back breaker; the rest of the game is played with heads hung, preparing for game 7. However the Blackhawks are of a different mindset. They need the desperation, the seemingly impossible, to motivate them to play at their best. Take the series against the Detroit Red Wings. Down 3-1 in the series, the Hawks came back and won the series in game 7, something that no one but Hawks fans and players predicted. The Hawks are a “Never Say Die” kind of team, and they never did say die. With less than eight minutes left, the Hawks began to play like the team that set a record for most regular season games earning at least a point. They scratched, clawed, and fought for every puck, and never hung their heads.
With ninety seconds left, the Blackhawks pulled the goalie. Patrick Kane carried the puck across the Boston blue line, and fired at Boston goalie Tuuka Rask. Rask deflected the shot away to the corner where it was picked up by Bruins defenseman Dennis Seidenburg, who slid it along the boards to Kreici. Kreici turned to send it up the boards, but the way was blocked by Chicago defenseman Duncan Keith. Kreici is rocked by a hit from Toews, and the loose puck was picked up by Patrick Kane, who passed it into the corner to Toews, who then put the puck across the front of the crease to Chicago’s grinder forward Brian Bickell, who put it home between the legs of Rask.
Jonathan Toews leaps over Zdeno Chara after assisting
Brian Bickell's late 3rd period equalizer.

Talk about a momentum shift. The Bruins, who thought they had all the momentum, absolutely had the rug pulled out from under them. 70 seconds from forcing game 7 and they give up a goal! Momentum gone.
Now it was all Hawks, and they weren’t done yet. Right off of the faceoff, the Hawks dance around a deflated Bruins defense, Hawks forward Michael Frolik sends a slapshot to the goal, the rebound ends up at the feet of Chicago’s Kruger, who sends it back to O’Duya for the point slap shot. Frolik deflects the shot down, the rebound off of Rask’s pad lands directly in front of Hawk’s forward Dave Bolland. Wrist flick, glove toss, game over.
While it can shift countless times during one game, momentum is the immeasurable force that controls whether you’re lifting the Lord Stanley’s Cup, or walking to your locker room while another team celebrates on your ice. Momentum is the madness that keeps sports fans coming back game after game, year after year.

Thursday, June 6, 2013

Realigning the Rivalries: NHL Realignment and the effects it has on Red Wings and Blackhawks

ONE OF THE OLDEST RIVLARIES in sports is coming to an end after this season. The rivalry between the Chicago Blackhawks and the Detroit Red Wings has been going on since before the Great Depression.

Two of the Original Six teams, both founded in 1926, have a deep-rooted history intertwined with each other.

REALIGNMENT: The NHL is realigning the conferences and divisions to make them more time sensitive. Putting all the Eastern Time Zone teams together in the same conference, then putting all Central Time Zone and Mountain Time Zone Teams in the same Division, leaving the Pacific Time Zone teams together. This will result in less 10pm games for the East Coast teams. The Columbus Blue Jackets and the Detroit Red Wings are both going over to the Eastern Conference while the Winnipeg Jets are entering the Western Conference.

A QUICK HISTORY LESSON: From roughly 1942-1967 James Norris owned both the Red Wings, and the Blackhawks. During this time period the Red Wings were THE team, and if Norris didn't like you, or he disagreed with something about you, he would send you to the Blackhawks and you would spend the rest of your career there (it was a punishment to be sent from the Red Wings to the Blackhawks). The Blackhawks were the younger brother of the two and was filled in that manner.

JUMP BACK TO 2013, the Red Wings and Blackhawks have played each other 879 times (counting playoffs) and the Red Wings are heading to the Eastern Conference on top of the series 436–358–85 (W-L-OTL) and the rivalry will only amount two games per year.

NEW RIVALRIES WILL BE BORN, Detroit will be able stoke the Toronto rivalry again, while the Blackhawks will be able to start a new rivalry with the Winnipeg Jets.

CLEANING THE ICE: Though the new Conferences and Divisions are change and will be ending a long history of rivalries, it may not be all bad. The next NHL season looks hopeful and could possibly be even more competitive thanks to sending the Red Wings to the same conference as the Penguins and Bruins.

How do you feel about the NHL's realignment
  
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